Nuclear cull German to add 40 million tones of CO2 per year (Reuters)

London (Reuters) - plan of the Germany to close down all its nuclear facilities by 2022 will add up to 40 million tonnes of carbon dioxide per year as the towers of country to fuels fossil, analysts said on Tuesday.

Additional emissions would increase the permit application of carbon under trade regime of the European Union, thus adding a little price for carbon and the costs of pollution for the EU industry.

"We will see a pick-up in coal German burn," said analyst for Barclays Capital Amrita Senator "longer term, they will be using more renewable energy and gas but this year and next, we should see much support for the coal burn.".

The phase-out is seen as more political that technical, as German Chancellor Angela Merkel trying to capture an anti-nuclear sentiment following the crisis of Fukushima at the Japan.

Ecologists welcome change, even if some have demanded a more rapid elimination, hoping that it could stimulate a shift towards renewable energies they regard as less harmful to avoid radioactive waste.

But analysts say that the move will also see an increase in gas emissions greenhouse warming equivalent to the annual emissions of the Slovakia, as the Germany uses gas and coal to plug a gap between the generations in power, all of which are two carbon-emitting more than nuclear energy.

This calculation implied scepticism with the statement of the coalition that he cut energy demand and develop the use of renewable energy such as solar and wind energy.

Deutsche Bank analysts found an extra 370 million tonnes of emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) until 2020, extra tones 406 million of Societe Generale.

Matteo Mazzoni, Nomisma Energia the Italy analyst, believes an extra extra tones 20-29 million of CO2 per year.

"This is not likely to be much higher prices in the medium term, unless the price of electricity comes under pressure," Mazzoni said, referring to the price of emission permits called allowances EU (saw).

SocGen analyst Emmanuel Fages increased its third-quarter 2011 EUA price forecast by a modest 0.5 cents to 17 euros per ton and reassess other prices.

The reference us contract for December 2011 delivery index rated 17.24 EUR ($24.63) by your lunchtime Tuesday, 35 cents or 2 percent on the day.

"The carbon price should obviously also get an uplift due to this feeling born of the decision, but it will be limited and temporary,"Fages said, adding "the market remains largely saturated (saw)" for the two years to come.""capping any significant increase in prices in the short term

The Community Exchange system is intended to limit industrial emissions by allocating a fixed quota of saw some 12 600 factories and power plants but the recession in 2009 left a glut of licence.

(Written by Gerard Wynn; editing by James Jukwey)

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German nuclear power plants more off the coast of the grid (AP)

BERLIN - over three quarters of the Germany nuclear power plants was off line Saturday because of maintenance or of cases commissioned by the Government after the disaster of Japan Fukushima nuclear plant, said public service companies.

Only four of 17 nuclear plants of the country were online after energy production that RWE AG has taken at its plant in Emsland off the coast of the grid on Saturday.

Environmentalists accused utilities of closures of simultaneous maintenance staged threatening blackouts to put pressure on the Government of Chancellor Angela Merkel, who seems determined following the disaster of Fukushima Dai-ichi gradually nuclear in the 10 to 15 years. A decision on this policy is expected in June.

"We are afraid that the utilities could step intentionally a power outage to influence people in the debate on energy gradually nuclear," said Jochen Ausgestrahlt anti-nuclear group stay.

A spokesman for RWE dismissed the allegation, however, saying to the German press DAPD Emsland maintenance agency, it had been planned before the disaster at the same Japan.

Experts, said the situation was potentially worrying, because electricity significantly more low intake could change the overall tension of the grid and in the worst case lead to power outages.

"The situation will be probably manageable," the head of the German Agency DENA of electricity grid, Matthias Kurth, was quoted saying in the newspaper Sueddeutsche Zeitung on Saturday. "The situation would be worse if we had too much sun at this time"-a reference to the growing amount of electricity generated by solar panels across the country.

To compensate, the Germany is likely to import more electricity to its neighbors, mainly France and the Czech Republic, which rely heavily on nuclear energy.

Germany, more great economy of Europe, is the only one among the world leaders of industrialized countries in its determination to ditch nuclear power and replace it with renewable energy. Nuclear power generates approximately 23% of the electricity of the Germany - on the same level as in the United States - but with the judgments is now contributing the least energy as renewable energy, which normally provide 17% of the power of the Germany.

After the earthquake on March 11 and crippled tsunami factory Fukushima at the Japan, Government Merkel decided to close seven reactors built before 1980 until thorough security checks. Other plants have been taken off the coast of the grid in the past weeks for regular maintenance.

Two reactors are planned to go back online at the end of next week, which should facilitate the domestic electricity supply tight.

Nuclear energy was very unpopular in Germany since the radioactivity of the disaster of Chernobyl 1986 a derived across the country.

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